Recession – To Be or Not To Be

It’s in the news – everywhere – talk of recession and all the negative feelings that word calls up. Well, are we in a recession? And why do we care if we are or are not?

Give Your Children the Gift of Financial Literacy

Give your children the gift of financial literacy. They’ll thank you later! As a parent, you are well aware of your responsibility in helping your children grow up happy and healthy. Once they enter their teen years, the pressure can build to impart more of your wisdom. One area you shouldn’t overlook is how to […]

Quarterly Comments February 2024

Good News vs Bad News In this week of loving messages, we got one of those Bad News Reports which stem from basically Good News in the economy. CPI was reported as increasing +3.9%. On it’s face this sounds OK, but forecasters and markets were expecting a number a bit lower. Housing, including rising home […]

Quarterly Comments: Resilience Persists

Resilience Persists November 10, 2023 Markets and the economy are exhibiting robust resilience  face of the the “Higher for Longer” interest rate message. There are plenty of headwinds – geopolitical, potential for another rate hike, a richly valued S&P 500 at a p/e of 24+( Y Charts 11-9-23), and a terribly persistent inverted yield curve. […]

Quarterly Comments

Mixed messages abound! The bond market tells us a recession is not only coming – it is inevitable; the stock market seems to be saying “Slowdown maybe, but the economic growth opportunities remain, so – no recession.”

Quarterly Comments

Growth, Slow Growth or No Growth February 15, 2023 I think I can speak for all of us when I say we are feeling, if not a bit better, then less fearful than we were a few months ago. The equity markets are up, and the bond market is looking more attractive than it has […]

Making Sense of It: Inflation, Recession or Not

The Federal reserve is playing catch up and is raising rates at the fastest pace since the early 1980s. It will take 6 to 12 months to actually see the cooling effects of these rate hikes on the overall economy, so there is the very real possibility that the Fed will go too far or too fast and cause a deeper contraction than is needed or warranted.